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Storyline · concluded · Season thread

Atlantic Season 2024

Every dispatch on this road this season, in order: the thread a daily newsletter leaves behind when you read it end to end.

81Dispatches
189Days · MAY 6–NOV 10
I-26Tropics
Where the dispatches were filed65 of 81 placed
Map of North America and the Atlantic with a shield at each dispatch's place Natural Earth · places from the headlines
17-25 Named Storms with 4-7 Major Hurricanes FIGURE 1 MAY 23 · I-26 TROPICS 17-25 Named Storms with 4-7 Major Hurricanes Strong tropical wave will meet a late season cold front FIGURE 1 MAY 28 · I-26 TROPICS Strong tropical wave will meet a late season cold front Tropical wave has sputtered out FIGURE 1 MAY 29 · I-26 TROPICS Tropical wave has sputtered out Central America rainfall very welcome FIGURE 1 MAY 30 · I-26 TROPICS Central America rainfall very welcome
The route · every exit
  1. Exit 1 · MAY 6 · Subscribers ECMWF monthly forecast shows very active Atlantic hurricane season Oklahoma
  2. Exit 2 · MAY 16 · Subscribers Tropical Weather Outlooks resume for 2024 Texas
  3. Exit 3 · MAY 23 17-25 Named Storms with 4-7 Major Hurricanes
  4. Exit 4 · MAY 28 Strong tropical wave will meet a late season cold front
  5. Exit 5 · MAY 29 Tropical wave has sputtered out
  6. Exit 6 · MAY 30 Central America rainfall very welcome Central America
  7. Exit 7 · MAY 31 The 2024 Atlantic Hurricane season starts on Saturday Atlantic
  8. Exit 8 · JUN 1 · Subscribers The 2024 Atlantic Hurricane season begins today Atlantic
  9. Exit 9 · JUN 3 · Subscribers Atlantic tropics remain quiet Atlantic
  10. Exit 10 · JUN 4 · Subscribers Global tropics remain quiet for next week, at least Global
  11. Exit 11 · JUN 5 · Subscribers ECMWF Seasonal Update shows highly active Atlantic Atlantic
  12. Exit 12 · JUN 6 Watching for development in Gulf of Mexico by Days 10-15 Gulf of Mexico
  13. Exit 13 · JUN 7 AIFS model showing 2 Gulf of Mexico systems in next 2 weeks Gulf of Mexico
  14. Exit 14 · JUN 9 Gulf of Mexico focus of potential tropical storm development in 7-10 days Florida
  15. Exit 15 · JUN 10 · Subscribers The first named system in each basin possible in next 10-days Gulf of Mexico
  16. Exit 16 · JUN 11 NHC watching system that could become Alberto Gulf of Mexico
  17. Exit 17 · JUN 12 · Subscribers NHC watching two areas now for development in Atlantic Atlantic
  18. Exit 18 · JUN 13 · Subscribers Higher chance of development in southern Gulf of Mexico early next week Gulf of Mexico
  19. Exit 19 · JUN 14 Central American Gyre to develop with potential to spawn a tropical storm in the Gulf of Mexico Gulf of Mexico
  20. Exit 20 · JUN 15 · Subscribers Developing Central American Gyre may spawn a tropical storm in the southern Gulf of Mexico Gulf of Mexico
  21. Exit 21 · JUN 16 Central American Gyre may spawn a tropical cyclone in the southern Gulf of Mexico Gulf of Mexico
  22. Exit 22 · JUN 17 Watching Gulf of Mexico for a weak tropical storm development by Friday Gulf of Mexico
  23. Exit 23 · JUN 18 · Subscribers Waiting on Alberto but it is slow going in the southern Gulf of Mexico Gulf of Mexico
  24. Exit 24 · JUN 19 · Subscribers Still a Potential Tropical Cyclone but expected to be named today
  25. Exit 25 · JUN 20 · Subscribers 2 more areas of disturbed weather show potential development
  26. Exit 26 · JUN 21 · Subscribers 2 more areas of disturbed weather show potential development Florida
  27. Exit 27 · JUN 23 Hot summer weather continues across Lower 48 Lower 48
  28. Exit 28 · JUN 24 Ensembles show wave development in deep tropics next week
  29. Exit 29 · JUN 25 Ensembles show likely tropical storm in 7-10 days
  30. Exit 30 · JUN 26 · Subscribers Ensembles show likely tropical storm or hurricane in 7-10 days
  31. Exit 31 · JUN 26 · Subscribers Any U.S. impacts 10-14 days away
  32. Exit 32 · JUN 27 · Subscribers Likely hurricane by early next week in the Caribbean Caribbean
  33. Exit 33 · JUN 28 Likely hurricane by early next week in the Caribbean Caribbean
  34. Exit 34 · JUN 28 Forecast to become a powerful hurricane in the Caribbean Caribbean
  35. Exit 35 · JUL 8 Tropics go quiet as Lower 48 broils in extreme summer heat Lower 48
  36. Exit 36 · JUL 10 · Subscribers Tropics quiet for the next 2-weeks
  37. Exit 37 · JUL 23 Atlantic tropics still quiet for next 2-weeks Atlantic
  38. Exit 38 · JUL 24 Atlantic tropics starting to wake up Atlantic
  39. Exit 39 · JUL 25 · Subscribers One tropical wave in Atlantic to watch for the next 10-days Atlantic
  40. Exit 40 · JUL 26 · Subscribers One tropical wave in Atlantic to watch for the next 10-days Atlantic
  41. Exit 41 · JUL 27 · Subscribers European model suite bullish on development of tropical wave Europe
  42. Exit 42 · JUL 29 · Subscribers More confidence in track of tropical wave off the Southeast Coast Western Atlantic
  43. Exit 43 · JUL 30 Odds increasing for development but environment remains hostile
  44. Exit 44 · JUL 31 Still several days before potential development near Florida Florida
  45. Exit 45 · AUG 1 · Subscribers Invest 97L slowly organizing into expected tropical depression in Gulf of Mexico Gulf of Mexico
  46. Exit 46 · AUG 7 Atlantic tropics heating up again next week Atlantic
  47. Exit 47 · AUG 8 · Subscribers Atlantic tropics heating up again next week Atlantic
  48. Exit 48 · AUG 9 · Subscribers Tropical wave likely to develop into hurricane by middle of next week
  49. Exit 49 · AUG 10 · Subscribers Invest 98L organizing over central Tropical Atlantic Atlantic Main Development Region
  50. Exit 50 · AUG 11 Sprawling Invest 98L nearing tropical depression status in next 36-48 hours
  51. Exit 51 · AUG 21 · Subscribers Still no sign of tropical storm activity in the Atlantic Atlantic
  52. Exit 52 · AUG 24 · Subscribers Signs of life in the Atlantic in 10-days Atlantic
  53. Exit 53 · AUG 25 · Subscribers Not sure about those signs of life
  54. Exit 54 · AUG 26 · Subscribers Ensembles lighting up with major development
  55. Exit 55 · AUG 26 · Subscribers Atlantic development uncertain Atlantic
  56. Exit 56 · AUG 29 · Subscribers Atlantic development still uncertain Atlantic
  57. Exit 57 · AUG 30 · Subscribers Disturbance waits a while to organize in Caribbean Caribbean
  58. Exit 58 · SEP 2 Atlantic disturbance fizzles, another week of quiet Atlantic
  59. Exit 59 · SEP 4 · Subscribers Southern Gulf of Mexico bears close watching next week Gulf of Mexico
  60. Exit 60 · SEP 5 · Subscribers Gulf of Mexico only show in town for impactful storm development Gulf of Mexico
  61. Exit 61 · SEP 15 · Subscribers Disturbance off Carolinas might develop into a tropical storm North Carolina
  62. Exit 62 · SEP 17 · Subscribers Watching Caribbean way down the road Caribbean
  63. Exit 63 · SEP 18 Caribbean long-range threat increasing Caribbean
  64. Exit 64 · SEP 19 · Subscribers Watching Gulf of Mexico in 7-8 day range Gulf of Mexico
  65. Exit 65 · SEP 21 · Subscribers More bullish with faster development timeline in Gulf of Mexico Gulf of Mexico
  66. Exit 66 · SEP 22 Hurricane likely in Gulf of Mexico with Florida landfall Thursday Florida
  67. Exit 67 · SEP 29 Atlantic remains active with another Caribbean threat brewing Caribbean
  68. Exit 68 · OCT 1 · Subscribers Gulf of Mexico system still uncertain while Kirk and Leslie loom far out in Atlantic Gulf of Mexico
  69. Exit 69 · OCT 1 · Subscribers Still watching Gulf of Mexico for potential development in 7-days Gulf of Mexico
  70. Exit 70 · OCT 2 Model support for Gulf of Mexico tropical system remains limited Gulf of Mexico
  71. Exit 71 · OCT 4 Gulf of Mexico could see powerful hurricane develop by early next week and impact Florida Florida
  72. Exit 72 · OCT 12 Tropics quiet for the next week but models hint at a Caribbean development Caribbean
  73. Exit 73 · OCT 13 · Subscribers Invest 94L losing steam and potential for development, quiet otherwise
  74. Exit 74 · OCT 15 · Subscribers Invest 94L struggling with dry air. Arctic blast descends upon eastern U.S Eastern U.S.
  75. Exit 75 · OCT 16 Atlantic tropics winding down for October as Invest 94L struggles with dry air Atlantic
  76. Exit 76 · OCT 18 · Subscribers Nadine may organize prior to landfall in Central America as a weak Tropical Storm Central America
  77. Exit 77 · OCT 24 Hints of Caribbean tropical activity in 8-10 days Caribbean
  78. Exit 78 · OCT 30 NHC remains at 40% in 7-days with Caribbean disturbance Caribbean
  79. Exit 79 · OCT 31 NHC up to 60% tropical development in Caribbean Caribbean
  80. Exit 80 · NOV 1 · Subscribers Hurricane season continues in Caribbean with 80% of development Caribbean
  81. Exit 81 · NOV 10 · Subscribers Caribbean could see yet one more tropical system in 2024 Caribbean
END Final dispatch NOV 10.

Why I-26?

Tropical stories ride Interstate 26, after the 26 °C sea-surface temperature often used as a rough threshold for tropical development.

26 °C

The sea-surface temperature often used as a rough threshold for tropical development; the shield number of this road.

Invest

An area the Hurricane Center is investigating, numbered 90–99 with a basin letter, before it has a name.

ACE

Accumulated Cyclone Energy: a season's wind, squared and summed every six hours. Climatology sets the scale.