Oct 1, 2024 Tuesday Tropical Update
Still watching Gulf of Mexico for potential development in 7-days
October 2024 was the 2nd-warmest October in the 131-year national record (1895–2025), at 58.9°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 54.5°F (+4.4°F).
October 2024 was the 3rd-driest October in the 131-year national record (1895–2025), at 1.0in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.5in (-1.5in).
NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.
Hurricane Kirk continues to intensify and will become a major hurricane in next 2-days. The next wave behind Kirk will also develop into a potentially Cat 4-5 Hurricane Leslie.
Complicated Caribbean / Gulf of Mexico gyre circulation jas generated its first tropical depression (TD 11E) to become short-lived TS Kristy. Another more powerful Eastern Pacific hurricane (Lane) will come by the weekend. NHC has 40% chance of development in the Gulf of Mexico for next 7-days, but not seeing much signal for consolidation.
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- 403 · laid 2024-10-01T23:08:10.045000Z
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