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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Tropics MILEPOST 356

August 1, 2024 Thursday Tropical Wave Update

Invest 97L slowly organizing into expected tropical depression in Gulf of Mexico

What the month did

August 2024 was the 16th-warmest August in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 74.0°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 73.1°F (+1.0°F).

August 2024 was the 44th-driest August in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 2.5in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.7in (-0.2in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

Invest 97L is on a track to the eastern Gulf of Mexico where environmental conditions will be much more favorable for rapid development — especially with untapped ocean surface temperatures at nearly 90°F

NHC has bumped up the development chance to 70%. The next name is Debby.

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Milepost
356 · laid 2024-08-02T01:59:03.128000Z
Source
https://weather.substack.com/p/august-1-2024-thursday-tropical-wave
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