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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Tropics MILEPOST 390

Sept 14, 2024 Saturday Tropical Update

Disturbance off Carolinas might develop into a tropical storm

What the month did

September 2024 was the 2nd-warmest September in the 131-year national record (1895–2025), at 68.6°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 66.0°F (+2.7°F).

September 2024 was the 44th-driest September in the 131-year national record (1895–2025), at 2.3in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.6in (-0.3in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

Only weak Tropical Storm Gordon is holding down the fort in the tropical Atlantic.

An area of low pressure will slowly develop off the Southeast U.S. and could become (briefly) a tropical storm (Helene) on Monday before heading into North Carolina. The main threat would be heavy rain and some gusty winds. While the system is over the warm Gulf Stream waters, upper-level wind shear will inhibit rapid intensification.

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Milepost
390 · laid 2024-09-15T00:46:31.919000Z
Source
https://weather.substack.com/p/sept-14-2024-saturday-tropical-update
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