August 10, 2024 Saturday Tropical Update
Invest 98L organizing over central Tropical Atlantic
August 2024 was the 16th-warmest August in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 74.0°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 73.1°F (+1.0°F).
August 2024 was the 44th-driest August in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 2.5in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.7in (-0.2in).
NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.
Headline for Saturday
Invest 98L has showers and storms in a broad circulation over the central tropical Atlantic. NHC has increased development chance to 40% in the next 48-hours and 80% in the next 7-days. The main question is not if — but when 98L will become Ernesto, and then track through the Caribbean and Greater Antilles. Models are suggesting a northward turn before reaching 70°W longitude sparing the U.S. from direct impacts.
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- 365 · laid 2024-08-10T22:16:58.088000Z
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