August 30, 2024 Friday Tropical Update
Disturbance waits a while to organize in Caribbean
August 2024 was the 16th-warmest August in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 74.0°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 73.1°F (+1.0°F).
August 2024 was the 44th-driest August in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 2.5in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.7in (-0.2in).
NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.
The monsoon trough has pulsed convection over the past 24-hours with some hints of organization. However, we won’t know until morning visible satellite imagery if any low-level circulations were spawned by the storms.
NHC still only has 40% chance of tropical cyclone development in the next 7-days, which gets us to next weekend.
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- 381 · laid 2024-08-31T02:13:52.658000Z
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