August 29, 2024 Thursday Tropical Update
Atlantic development still uncertain
August 2024 was the 16th-warmest August in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 74.0°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 73.1°F (+1.0°F).
August 2024 was the 44th-driest August in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 2.5in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.7in (-0.2in).
NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.
An area of storms/convection along the monsoon trough in the tropical Atlantic remains disorganized this afternoon. Another wave to the east looks more robust.
NHC has 40% chance of development in the next 7-days as the area of showers drifts westward. Models do not indicate a named storm prior to reaching the Lesser Antilles in 4-5 days (by September 3, next Tuesday).
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- 380 · laid 2024-08-29T18:15:01.484000Z
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