Storyline · active · Season thread
El Niño / La Niña 2026
Every dispatch on this road this season, in order: the thread a daily newsletter leaves behind when you read it end to end.
8Dispatches
240Days · MAR 5–OCT 30
I-34El Niño
LOOP
MAR 5 · I-34 EL NIÑO Strong El Niño forecast to form this summer suppressing hurricane activity
FIGURE 1
APR 8 · I-34 EL NIÑO Massive Super Typhoon to track near Guam and will help trigger Super El Niño
FIGURE 1
JUN 24 · I-34 EL NIÑO Ghost town in the Atlantic for the next 2-weeks at least as El NIño takes the wheel
FIGURE 1
JUL 24 · I-34 EL NIÑO Atlantic tropics very quiet but Pacific is full tilt El Niño with Fausto, Genevieve, and Noul, and more to come
The route · every exit
- Exit 1 · MAR 5 Strong El Niño forecast to form this summer suppressing hurricane activity
- Exit 2 · APR 8 Massive Super Typhoon to track near Guam and will help trigger Super El Niño
- Exit 3 · JUN 24 Ghost town in the Atlantic for the next 2-weeks at least as El NIño takes the wheel
- Exit 4 · JUL 24 Atlantic tropics very quiet but Pacific is full tilt El Niño with Fausto, Genevieve, and Noul, and more to come
- Exit 5 · JUL 26 Atlantic tropics remain very quiet but Pacific is full tilt El Niño with Fausto, Genevieve, and soon a monster Super Typhoon forming out by the Dateline
- Exit 6 · AUG 17 · Subscribers Atlantic remains quiet this week. The Pacific gearing up for another flurry of El Niño fueled tropical activity
- Exit 7 · OCT 13 Historical Context of Atlantic Inactivity as Pacific goes bonkers with El Niño
- Exit 8 · OCT 30 Heavy rain across the Southwest and Texas linked to El Niño fueled Pacific moisture
END
Why I-34?
El Niño stories ride Interstate 34, after the Niño-3.4 region of the equatorial Pacific whose temperature defines the phase.
Niño-3.4
The central-Pacific box, 5°N–5°S and 120°–170°W, whose sea-surface anomaly defines El Niño; the shield number of this road.
El Niño / La Niña
The warm and cool phases of the Pacific's slow oscillation, each tilting the odds on the season downstream.
Teleconnection
A weather pattern in one place statistically tied to conditions thousands of kilometres away.