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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Tropics MILEPOST 1009

August 17, 2026 Monday Tropical Update

Atlantic remains quiet this week. The Pacific gearing up for another flurry of El Niño fueled tropical activity.

What the month did

August 2026 was the warmest August in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 75.6°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 73.1°F (+2.5°F).

August 2026 was the 22nd-driest August in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 2.3in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.7in (-0.4in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

A large “heat dome” is stuck across the Southern U.S. but plenty of moisture is leaking through the lid into the Southeast, leading to powerful storms developing in Tennessee and sliding southward into north Georgia this evening.

Another batch of severe weather is along the Gulf coast including Mobile. We’ll see how much of these storms last the trip through Metro Atlanta down I-75 as the air mass is quite dry with temperatures pushing upper-90s earlier this afternoon.

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Milepost
1009 · laid 2026-08-18T01:44:38.506000Z
Source
https://weather.substack.com/p/august-17-2026-monday-tropical-update
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