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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Notebook MILEPOST 778

October 30, 2025 Thursday Weather Update

Active midlatitude storm track into early November

What the month did

October 2025 was the 7th-warmest October in the 131-year national record (1895–2025), at 57.0°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 54.5°F (+2.4°F).

October 2025 was the 56th-wettest October in the 131-year national record (1895–2025), at 2.3in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.5in (-0.2in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

As we head into November, the North Pacific and North Atlantic storm tracks really crank up with hurricane force extratropical cyclones. During my research days at Florida State (2005-2010) my work focused on the mature stage of these monster oceanic storm systems — called “warm seclusion” extratropical cyclones because of the powerful winds around an eye-like warm core (relative to the surroundings).

A textbook example in the Northeast Pacific / Gulf of Alaska has dropped into the 950s mb — similar to a major hurricane pressure in the tropics.

For subscribers

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778 · laid 2025-10-31T01:03:46.065000Z
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https://weather.substack.com/p/october-30-2025-thursday-weather
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