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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Tropics MILEPOST 741

September 22, 2025 Monday Hurricane Season

Gabrielle rapidly intensified to Category 4 with another 1 or 2 Atlantic storms on way

What the month did

September 2025 was the 7th-warmest September in the 131-year national record (1895–2025), at 67.9°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 66.0°F (+2.0°F).

September 2025 was the 15th-driest September in the 131-year national record (1895–2025), at 1.9in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.6in (-0.6in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

Hurricane Gabrielle rapidly intensified to Category 4 as expected from the mesoscale models last night along with the satellite imagery trends. The Atlantic basin isn’t broken after all — just need to get the storms out of the tropics north of 30°N latitude.

Clear and warm eye — looks like Gabrielle has maxed out at 120-125 knots with a Dvorak Data-T number of 6.5 — only a 0.5 point below Category 5.

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Milepost
741 · laid 2025-09-22T23:49:36.384000Z
Source
https://weather.substack.com/p/september-22-2025-monday-hurricane
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