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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Tropics MILEPOST 692

August 5, 2025 Hurricane Season Tuesday

Closely monitoring Atlantic tropical wave for development but more in pipeline

What the month did

August 2025 was the 28th-warmest August in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 73.4°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 73.1°F (+0.3°F).

August 2025 was the 27th-driest August in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 2.3in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.7in (-0.3in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

Tropical Storm Dexter (04L) battling wind shear and is weakening to a minimal storm. However, it may intensify again as a post-tropical storm with help from the midlatitude jet stream through baroclinic processes.

Southeast USA coast (40%) disturbance along a persistent trough likely will develop into a tropical system similar to Dexter and meander. Unsure about the eventual track or threats to the US mainland.

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Milepost
692 · laid 2025-08-05T14:39:32.984000Z
Source
https://weather.substack.com/p/august-5-2025-hurricane-season-tuesday
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