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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Winter MILEPOST 478

December 31, 2024 Tuesday Winter Update

Strong winter storm early next week across Ohio River Valley

What the month did

December 2024 was the 4th-warmest December in the 131-year national record (1895–2025), at 38.1°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 34.3°F (+3.8°F).

December 2024 was the 64th-driest December in the 131-year national record (1895–2025), at 2.4in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.5in (-0.1in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

Good morning! While the calendar says this is the last day of 2024, the Earth’s seasons, weather and climate won’t notice as the atmosphere/ocean system operates on a multitude of time scales. Of course, the annual cycle is important for renewal and wiping the slate clean in some respects. Heat is removed from the oceans in the middle-latitudes through radiational cooling to the atmosphere above helping to fuel storms. While we experience [extreme] weather on shorter time scales from hours, days to maybe a week, the ocean operates much slower with a longer memory.

I am fascinated with climate variability and believe that much progress will be made with A.I. tools in the coming few years to better understand the year-to-year changes we experience like El Nino, volcanic eruptions, and Pacific/Atlantic multidecadal variability.

For subscribers

The rest of this piece is for paid subscribers of Weather Trader. The Post keeps the archive, the index and the record; the writing itself stays behind the same subscription it was published under.

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Milepost
478 · laid 2024-12-31T14:36:34.376000Z
Source
https://weather.substack.com/p/december-31-2024-tuesday-winter-update
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