October 4, 2023 Afternoon Update
Warmth continues across eastern half of nation
October 2023 was the 23rd-warmest October in the 131-year national record (1895–2025), at 56.0°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 54.5°F (+1.5°F).
October 2023 was the 62nd-driest October in the 131-year national record (1895–2025), at 2.2in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.5in (-0.3in).
NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.
Temperatures soared into the upper 80s all the way to John’s Bay in northern Ontario. Widespread 80s are 20°F-25°F above normal for October 4th. Quite the early Fall “heat wave” across 1/2 of the nation. Cooler air arrives by Friday and this weekend with highs in the 40s and 50s.
3-day precipitation forecast from NWS WFOs: Cold front —> plenty of rain (2-4”) centered upon NE Texas including Dallas-Fort Worth. This map is through early Saturday morning.
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