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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Tropics MILEPOST 997

August 1, 2026 Saturday Tropical Update

Typhoon Dolphin still a week away from potential China impacts. The rest of the tropics are in an early August slumber for the upcoming week but some hints of action in MDR by mid-month.

What the month did

August 2026 was the warmest August in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 75.6°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 73.1°F (+2.5°F).

August 2026 was the 22nd-driest August in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 2.3in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.7in (-0.4in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

Next is the crown jewel : Weather Trader

Extreme Fire Danger across the Pacific Northwest into the Northern Rockies with multiple wildfires exploding including near Spokane, Washington. Bone dry conditions (no rain in a month) + gusty winds > 40 mph = red flag (Particularly Dangerous Situation). Winds will die down into the overnight hours, so hopefully progress is made to protect as many homes as possible.

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The rest of this piece is for paid subscribers of Weather Trader. The Post keeps the archive, the index and the record; the writing itself stays behind the same subscription it was published under.

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Milepost
997 · laid 2026-08-02T01:46:59.604000Z
Source
https://weather.substack.com/p/august-1-2026-saturday-tropical-update
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