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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Tropics MILEPOST 988

Global Tropical Cyclones Information Portal

New one-stop-shop for climatology information about Earth's powerful tempests

What the month did

July 2026 was the warmest July in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 76.9°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 74.4°F (+2.5°F).

July 2026 was the 26th-driest July in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 2.5in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.9in (-0.3in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

Global Tropical Cyclones

https://global-tropical-cyclones.com

Brand new website in collaboration with Roger Pielke Jr. (The Honest Broker) using our combined research and decades of experience on the science of hurricanes. We’ll be updating it with new features as long as they add value, and help inform the public about the intersection of climate science with global tropical cyclone activity. Of course, you’ll find my favorite charts of Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) as well as Dr. Pielke’s work on damages, landfalls, and normalization.

Weather Trader is entirely reader-supported publication (no ads). To receive all new posts and support our work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.

New: Check out weather.football to see if your favorite team (NFL, college) plays in terrible weather. Will be a fun resource for Fall 2026 season ahead, powered by weather.city and supported by subscribers here at Weather Trader.

New: Satellite viewer (then radar) —> e.g. Equatorial Africa tropical waves viewed at squall.cloud (Squall Cloud)

Charts update every day!

More Weather Wires — coming soon, too!

My Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast (2026)

From April 7, 2026: Atlantic Seasonal Hurricane Forecast: (11/5/2)

9-13 Named Storms (11 most likely)
4-7 Hurricanes (5 or 6 most likely)
1-3 Major Hurricanes (2 most likely)
Accumulated Cyclone Energy: 75-85 (well below normal)

NOAA 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast

More details in Thursday, May 21, 2026 Tropical Update

Milepost
988 · laid 2026-07-22T17:10:28.665000Z
Source
https://weather.substack.com/p/global-tropical-cyclones-information
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