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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Tropics MILEPOST 975

July 7, 2026 Tropical Update Tuesday

Super Typhoon Bavi will brush Taiwan and then landfall China into Friday. Atlantic remains a ghost town.

What the month did

July 2026 was the warmest July in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 76.9°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 74.4°F (+2.5°F).

July 2026 was the 26th-driest July in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 2.5in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.9in (-0.3in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

Super Typhon Bavi remains near Category 5 with a massive wind field — Tropical Storm force extending over 10 degrees of longitude and hurricane force upwards of 400 nm across. The large size of Bavi has capped its intensity to 130-140 knots with the eye sometime ragged. Over the next 2-days, we can expect some fluctuations with intensity with a slight weakening trend.

HAFS-A Wind Field — 10-meter (near surface) wind speed — massive wave maker, too!

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Milepost
975 · laid 2026-07-08T01:19:34.676000Z
Source
https://weather.substack.com/p/july-7-2026-tropical-update-tuesday
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