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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Notebook MILEPOST 869

February 14, 2026 Saturday Evening Update

Strong storm system along the Gulf coast will bring heavy rain and severe wind threat into Sunday

What the month did

February 2026 was the 4th-warmest February in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 40.3°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 35.6°F (+4.6°F).

February 2026 was the 5th-driest February in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 1.4in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.1in (-0.7in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

Storm System: Radar Simulation next 18-hours — through Noon Sunday

Squall line with embedded “spin-ups” on QLCS (quasi-linear convective system) moved through Houston in the past hour and is now into Louisiana, and will push through Atlanta by Noon on Sunday.

For subscribers

The rest of this piece is for paid subscribers of Weather Trader. The Post keeps the archive, the index and the record; the writing itself stays behind the same subscription it was published under.

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Milepost
869 · laid 2026-02-15T01:55:02.065000Z
Source
https://weather.substack.com/p/february-14-2026-saturday-evening
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