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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Winter MILEPOST 865

February 10, 2026 Tuesday Evening Update

Western U.S. resumes winter after a long dry/warm spell but plenty of ground to make up

What the month did

February 2026 was the 4th-warmest February in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 40.3°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 35.6°F (+4.6°F).

February 2026 was the 5th-driest February in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 1.4in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.1in (-0.7in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

Update on the potential Presidents’ Day Nor’easter: swing and a miss, or it will come back west? ECMWF 18z update shows formation of a strong low pressure just offshore DelMarVa with limited impacts (snowfall) to the Northeast

Monday 1 AM ET : 991 mb with wintry precipitation just edging up to the coast

For subscribers

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Milepost
865 · laid 2026-02-11T02:45:25.633000Z
Source
https://weather.substack.com/p/february-10-2026-tuesday-evening
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