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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Tropics MILEPOST 84

Hurricane Idalia Category 2

Landfall nudged westward into Jefferson/Taylor county

What the month did

August 2023 was the 10th-warmest August in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 74.4°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 73.1°F (+1.3°F).

August 2023 was the 43rd-wettest August in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 2.8in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.7in (+0.1in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

Aircraft recon has boosted Hurricane Idalia to Category 2 (85-knots) with 971 mb central pressure at 5 PM ET.

The track is nudged westward by 25-miles. Landfall intensity forecast is 110-knots or top-end Category 3 (major).

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Milepost
84 · laid 2023-08-29T21:13:44.833000Z
Source
https://weather.substack.com/p/hurricane-idalia-category-2
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