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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Winter MILEPOST 803

December 2, 2025 Tuesday Morning Winter Weather

Storm system just missed crippling the Northeast with heavy snow

What the month did

December 2025 was the 5th-warmest December in the 131-year national record (1895–2025), at 37.8°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 34.3°F (+3.5°F).

December 2025 was the 37th-driest December in the 131-year national record (1895–2025), at 2.0in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.5in (-0.5in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

Main story for the next couple weeks is cold air entrenched in the Midwest, Great Lakes, and Northeast with the main tropospheric polar vortex perilously close to the Lower 48 locked onto a fulcrum over Hudson and James Bay. Shortwave impulses riding along the polar front / jet stream will grab lobes of the PV and keep Canadian Arctic air flowing southward.

Nor’easter intensifying just off the New England coast — close enough to prevent cold air from dominating the precipitation types during the daytime = rain for the major population centers. Snow / mixture will arrive overnight but accumulations and impacts will be minimal in NYC (if any) and Boston.

For subscribers

The rest of this piece is for paid subscribers of Weather Trader. The Post keeps the archive, the index and the record; the writing itself stays behind the same subscription it was published under.

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Milepost
803 · laid 2025-12-02T16:24:14.734000Z
Source
https://weather.substack.com/p/december-2-2025-tuesday-morning-winter
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