October 17, 2025 Friday Hurricane Season
NHC up to 30% chance of tropical wave development in Caribbean next week
October 2025 was the 7th-warmest October in the 131-year national record (1895–2025), at 57.0°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 54.5°F (+2.4°F).
October 2025 was the 56th-wettest October in the 131-year national record (1895–2025), at 2.3in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.5in (-0.2in).
NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.
Models show a high likelihood of tropical storm formation in about 7-days but the location and timing are uncertain:
ECMWF EPS (conventional full-physics systems) much slower formation thus reaching the western Caribbean.
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- 767 · laid 2025-10-17T13:15:33.038000Z
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