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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Tropics MILEPOST 75

August 24, 2023 Hurricane Season

Gulf of Mexico threat increasing

What the month did

August 2023 was the 10th-warmest August in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 74.4°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 73.1°F (+1.3°F).

August 2023 was the 43rd-wettest August in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 2.8in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.7in (+0.1in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

Top stories Thursday afternoon:

(1) Gulf of Mexico hurricane threat: NHC increased chance of tropical development in 2-7 days to 60% in the NW Caribbean or southern Gulf of Mexico. The track would be northward into the Florida Gulf Coast with potential for hurricane strength landfall Tues-Wed next week. However, too soon to say much about when/where or if.

For subscribers

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Milepost
75 · laid 2023-08-24T21:39:28.637000Z
Source
https://weather.substack.com/p/august-24-2023-hurricane-season
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