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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Tropics MILEPOST 718

August 30, 2025 Saturday Tropical Update

A.I. Ensemble system lighting up Atlantic basin in 10-14 days

What the month did

August 2025 was the 28th-warmest August in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 73.4°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 73.1°F (+0.3°F).

August 2025 was the 27th-driest August in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 2.3in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.7in (-0.3in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

Tropical Wave coming off Africa with 30% chance of development according to NHC.

Little spinners along stationary front from Gulf of Mexico coast to off Florida may briefly fit the definition of a TD/TS in coming days.

For subscribers

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Milepost
718 · laid 2025-08-31T02:05:31.286000Z
Source
https://weather.substack.com/p/august-30-2025-saturday-tropical
Digest
9cc62bb25fdf928032be0c79618286b08440dc8fcec691556aa6804c539e79b0
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