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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Tropics MILEPOST 710

August 20, 2025 Hurricane Erin Wednesday Evening

Erin had a wonderful day regaining intensity down to 941 mb

What the month did

August 2025 was the 28th-warmest August in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 73.4°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 73.1°F (+0.3°F).

August 2025 was the 27th-driest August in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 2.3in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.7in (-0.3in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

Hurricane Erin had a fabulous day out in the western Atlantic over the Gulf Stream waters with vigorous inner-core redevelopment. However, the inner-core is now be buffeted by wind shear & dry air will soon knock it down. ERIN is growing even more massive with the wind field becoming larger and asymmetric.

Tropical wave off Africa (Invest 99L) still showing sustained convection but time is running out before it apparently degrades into an open wave (40% chance of development) — not sure why NHC doesn’t like it.

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Milepost
710 · laid 2025-08-21T02:01:31.304000Z
Source
https://weather.substack.com/p/august-20-2025-hurricane-erin-wednesday
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