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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Notebook MILEPOST 706

August 17, 2025 Sunday Update on Erin

Erin is expanding in size as it gains latitude

What the month did

August 2025 was the 28th-warmest August in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 73.4°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 73.1°F (+0.3°F).

August 2025 was the 27th-driest August in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 2.3in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.7in (-0.3in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

2025 Season to Date: 5 named storms, 1 hurricanes, and 1 majors [ ERIN +1 ]

Erin has struggled with dry air but may have managed to recently complete an eyewall replacement cycle resulting in a clear/warm and larger eye + radius of maximum winds.

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Milepost
706 · laid 2025-08-18T01:28:07.695000Z
Source
https://weather.substack.com/p/august-17-2025-sunday-update-on-erin
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