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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Notebook MILEPOST 704

August 16, 2025 Erin Rapidly Intensifying

Saturday morning, Erin explosively deepened to Category 4

What the month did

August 2025 was the 28th-warmest August in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 73.4°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 73.1°F (+0.3°F).

August 2025 was the 27th-driest August in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 2.3in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.7in (-0.3in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

2025 Season to Date: 5 named storms, 1 hurricanes, and 1 majors [ ERIN +1 ]

Major Hurricane Erin (05L) continues to rapidly intensifying with pressure dropping by 5 mb/hour this morning. Central pressure is nearing the low necessary for a Category 5, and the satellite presentation passes the “eye test” for a 5.

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Milepost
704 · laid 2025-08-16T14:13:31.502000Z
Source
https://weather.substack.com/p/august-16-2025-erin-rapidly-intensifying
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