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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Tropics MILEPOST 696

August 8, 2025 Hurricane Season Friday

Next tropical wave coming off Africa will be watched closely

What the month did

August 2025 was the 28th-warmest August in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 73.4°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 73.1°F (+0.3°F).

August 2025 was the 27th-driest August in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 2.3in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.7in (-0.3in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

Central Atlantic MDR (50%) tough sledding for a central Atlantic tropical wave. It is not generating much convection in a hostile environment.

Major tropical wave to emerge off the Africa coast this weekend and likely develop into next week. Models show a variety of explosive solutions with some threats to land, but still way over the predictability horizon.

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Milepost
696 · laid 2025-08-08T15:01:32.831000Z
Source
https://weather.substack.com/p/august-8-2025-hurricane-season-friday
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c4b6394994f335de2ed032bbabcc7bac9d87a09d2bbb45cdfce9db82db52e176
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