August 6, 2025 Wednesday Evening Tropics
Extended range ensembles continue to show burst of hurricane activity
August 2025 was the 28th-warmest August in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 73.4°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 73.1°F (+0.3°F).
August 2025 was the 27th-driest August in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 2.3in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.7in (-0.3in).
NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.
Tropical Storm Dexter (04L) is decoupling under intense upper-level wind shear and will transition into a “hurricane force” extratropical cyclone in the next 24-hours.
Southeast USA coast (30%) disturbance along a persistent trough is not showing signs of development this evening as it meanders NE off the coast.
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