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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Tropics MILEPOST 688

August 1, 2025 Hurricane Season Friday

Ensemble LIT UP into second week of August with high development potential

What the month did

August 2025 was the 28th-warmest August in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 73.4°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 73.1°F (+0.3°F).

August 2025 was the 27th-driest August in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 2.3in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.7in (-0.3in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

Atlantic Basin : waiting for the light switch to flip — likely around August 10-12 as ensemble systems show a LOT of activity

Central & Eastern Pacific Basin : Tropical Storm Gil (07E) will briefly become a hurricane before decaying over cooler water

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Milepost
688 · laid 2025-08-02T01:16:43.198000Z
Source
https://weather.substack.com/p/august-1-2025-hurricane-season-friday
Digest
10dbf0d61c177f7901e87ecd2d405faea0a5cf615559691d8338d180b92d3876
Machine
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