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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Tropics MILEPOST 687

July 31, 2025 Hurricane Season Thursday

Not expecting Atlantic tropical storm development through first week of August

What the month did

August 2025 was the 28th-warmest August in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 73.4°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 73.1°F (+0.3°F).

August 2025 was the 27th-driest August in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 2.3in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.7in (-0.3in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

Atlantic Basin : hardly any convection across the entire basin. The tropical Atlantic is hostile to any development through the first week of August.

Central & Eastern Pacific Basin : Tropical Storm Gil (06E) is online and will become a hurricane on Friday.

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Milepost
687 · laid 2025-08-01T00:17:04.580000Z
Source
https://weather.substack.com/p/july-31-2025-hurricane-season-thursday
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16eebececba8a527e9bf48af1ffbd6fbcc822692b7396e24d75001cdb45c4588
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