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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Tropics MILEPOST 684

July 28, 2025 Hurricane Season Monday

Losing confidence in Atlantic tropical wave due to Saharan dust layer

What the month did

July 2025 was the 20th-warmest July in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 75.4°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 74.4°F (+1.0°F).

July 2025 was the 27th-wettest July in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 3.1in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.9in (+0.2in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

Atlantic Basin : Saharan Dust Layer plume will plow off African coast to north of tropical wave to hurt tropical storm development chances in MDR.

Central & Eastern Pacific Basin : storms popping up out of monsoon trough left and right including newly named Iona (01C) on way to becoming a hurricane well south of Hawaii.

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Milepost
684 · laid 2025-07-28T14:51:09.832000Z
Source
https://weather.substack.com/p/july-28-2025-hurricane-season-monday
Digest
1fe3acfb3d28d71ef06676c1fec08bebda544b8b2f1f0727937849f89e478817
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