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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Tropics MILEPOST 664

July 5, 2025 Tropical Storm Chantal

Disorganized Tropical Storm Chantal nears landfall in South Carolina

What the month did

July 2025 was the 20th-warmest July in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 75.4°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 74.4°F (+1.0°F).

July 2025 was the 27th-wettest July in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 3.1in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.9in (+0.2in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

Quick update this evening. I admit struggling to concentrate on the tropics today as I was thinking about the flooding disaster in Texas. It’s too soon to cast blame or ask questions about what could have been done differently. I am not a fan of the politicization right away after these types of events. We can always improve our models, forecasts, and communication strategies — and keep people from risky weather situation.

Atlantic Basin : Tropical Storm Chantal’s outer rain bands are affecting the Carolina coastline. Landfall is later into Sunday morning.

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664 · laid 2025-07-06T00:07:59.221000Z
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https://weather.substack.com/p/july-5-2025-tropical-storm-chantal
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