July 3, 2025 Hurricane Season Thursday Evening Update
60% chance of tropical system (Chantal) along Southeast coast into weekend
July 2025 was the 20th-warmest July in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 75.4°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 74.4°F (+1.0°F).
July 2025 was the 27th-wettest July in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 3.1in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.9in (+0.2in).
NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.
Atlantic Basin : NHC watching the SE US coast for a stalled frontal wave developing into a tropical system this weekend (60%) — moderate chance trending upward. Next name is Chantal.
Western Pacific Basin : Tropical Storm Mun (04W) has strengthened near Typhoon intensity, and another system (Invest 98W) has high chance to become a tropical storm Friday, and perhaps a Typhoon near/over Taiwan.
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