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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Tropics MILEPOST 651

June 22, 2025 Hurricane Season Sunday

A 10% chance of non-tropical system developing east of Bermuda

What the month did

June 2025 was the 7th-warmest June in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 71.2°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 69.5°F (+1.7°F).

June 2025 was the 26th-wettest June in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 3.3in against a 1991–2020 normal of 3.1in (+0.2in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

Atlantic Basin : We have a 10% area hatched east of Bermuda for a very low chance of a short-lived, weak TD or TS in the next 7-days (June 29) by NHC. The ECMWF ensembles are otherwise blank through end of June.

Eastern Pacific Basin : Flossie is the next named system likely south of Mexico in 4-5 days. NHC remains at 70% chance of development.

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Milepost
651 · laid 2025-06-22T14:00:37.807000Z
Source
https://weather.substack.com/p/june-22-2025-hurricane-season-sunday
Digest
bc055115d51b209983e7a34b16e53594f366cbf24ac0667267c9341eab7bc94e
Machine
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