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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Tropics MILEPOST 645

June 17, 2025 Hurricane Season Tuesday

Tropical Storm Erick potential to become a major hurricane

What the month did

June 2025 was the 7th-warmest June in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 71.2°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 69.5°F (+1.7°F).

June 2025 was the 26th-wettest June in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 3.3in against a 1991–2020 normal of 3.1in (+0.2in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

Atlantic Basin : No areas being watched through the next 7-days (June 24) by NHC and the ECMWF ensembles are blank for next 2-weeks — through the end of June without a named storm.

Eastern Pacific Basin : Tropical Storm Erick could become a major hurricane if rapid intensification unfolds in the next 24-48 hours. The small system is over warm water in a favorable environment.

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Milepost
645 · laid 2025-06-17T13:28:42.789000Z
Source
https://weather.substack.com/p/june-17-2025-hurricane-season-tuesday
Digest
4a353d44c35f5cba70929fa929214645cc71a5a9608d44e7faf2afdb659254d8
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