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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Tropics MILEPOST 643

June 16, 2025 Hurricane Season Monday

Invest 94E to become Erick in Eastern Pacific south of Mexico

What the month did

June 2025 was the 7th-warmest June in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 71.2°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 69.5°F (+1.7°F).

June 2025 was the 26th-wettest June in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 3.3in against a 1991–2020 normal of 3.1in (+0.2in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

Atlantic Basin : No areas being watched through the next 7-days (June 23) by NHC and the ECMWF ensembles are blank for next 2-weeks — end of June without a named storm.

Eastern Pacific Basin : Invest 94E high chance (90%) to become Erick with landfall in southern Mexico in 3-4 days.

For subscribers

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Milepost
643 · laid 2025-06-16T12:49:59.301000Z
Source
https://weather.substack.com/p/june-16-2025-hurricane-season-monday
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