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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Tropics MILEPOST 64

August 10, 2023 Hurricane Season

Two waves to watch in Atlantic next week

What the month did

August 2023 was the 10th-warmest August in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 74.4°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 73.1°F (+1.3°F).

August 2023 was the 43rd-wettest August in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 2.8in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.7in (+0.1in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

NOAA seasonal forecast update today ramped up the Atlantic to 60% chance of an above-normal season , and 25% near-normal, which is up from 30% above / 40% near / 30% below normal issued in May. It seems the May forecast was quite a hedge with uncertainty about the developing El Niño and warm Atlantic ocean temperatures.

14-21 Named Storms including 5 already in the books

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Milepost
64 · laid 2023-08-10T22:36:49.030000Z
Source
https://weather.substack.com/p/august-10-2023-hurricane-season
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