Edition 2026-09-16 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1108

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Tropics MILEPOST 639

June 12, 2025 Hurricane Season Thursday

Next system in Eastern Pacific will be named Dalila and could reach hurricane intensity

What the month did

June 2025 was the 7th-warmest June in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 71.2°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 69.5°F (+1.7°F).

June 2025 was the 26th-wettest June in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 3.3in against a 1991–2020 normal of 3.1in (+0.2in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

Colorado State University updated their seasonal forecast for June 11, 2025, but didn’t change the headline numbers of 17/9/4 with ACE of 155. My expectations are lower based upon significantly cooler water in the central tropical Atlantic unfavorable upper-level winds consistent with a more “Nino-like” Pacific horseshoe SST pattern.

Atlantic Basin : No areas being watched through the next 7-days (June 19) by NHC and the ECMWF ensembles are blank for next 2-weeks.

For subscribers

The rest of this piece is for paid subscribers of Weather Trader. The Post keeps the archive, the index and the record; the writing itself stays behind the same subscription it was published under.

Read the full piece →
Milepost
639 · laid 2025-06-12T14:02:10.399000Z
Source
https://weather.substack.com/p/june-12-2025-hurricane-season-thursday
Digest
1ccaf61d0e81c1d8a3416b3b616d8eb798e66939f635eb9a820c262bf69215b0
Machine
JSON