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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Tropics MILEPOST 628

June 4, 2025 Tropical Update Wednesday

Non-tropical low to develop off Carolinas Friday

What the month did

June 2025 was the 7th-warmest June in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 71.2°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 69.5°F (+1.7°F).

June 2025 was the 26th-wettest June in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 3.3in against a 1991–2020 normal of 3.1in (+0.2in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

Atlantic tropical update : A 10% chance of tropical storm development expected in next 2-3 days —> A frontal boundary with a non-tropical low will form off the Southeast / Carolinas coast and could [briefly] acquire tropical characteristics.

Gulf and Caribbean — otherwise no activity expected through 7-days.

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Milepost
628 · laid 2025-06-04T12:35:54.987000Z
Source
https://weather.substack.com/p/june-4-2025-tropical-update-wednesday
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