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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Tropics MILEPOST 627

June 3, 2025 Tropical Update Tuesday

10% of Southeast coastal low getting name this weekend

What the month did

June 2025 was the 7th-warmest June in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 71.2°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 69.5°F (+1.7°F).

June 2025 was the 26th-wettest June in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 3.3in against a 1991–2020 normal of 3.1in (+0.2in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

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Atlantic tropical update : A 10% chance of tropical storm development expected in next 7-10 days. A frontal boundary with a non-tropical low will develop off the Southeast / Carolinas coast and could acquire tropical characteristics to be briefly named. Gulf Stream waters are quite warm and a convective flare up could be enough to burn a name.

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Milepost
627 · laid 2025-06-03T12:44:33.894000Z
Source
https://weather.substack.com/p/june-3-2025-tropical-update-tuesday
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