May 30, 2025 Friday Tropical Update
Next chance of a system in Eastern Pacific later next week. Atlantic quiet through first week of June
May 2025 was the 27th-warmest May in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 61.7°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 61.0°F (+0.7°F).
May 2025 was the 12th-wettest May in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 3.7in against a 1991–2020 normal of 3.1in (+0.6in).
NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.
Atlantic tropical update : not expecting any development through at least 7-days, but LOW chance for a tropical storm in the Caribbean or Gulf of Mexico after Day 10 [into second week of June]. Ensembles in the long-range
show a Caribbean / Central American gyre circulation in early June that is conducive to spinning up tropical storms in the Eastern Pacific & Caribbean/Gulf.
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