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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Notebook MILEPOST 616

May 26, 2025 Monday Weather Update

Warming trend into weekend across Lower 48

What the month did

May 2025 was the 27th-warmest May in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 61.7°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 61.0°F (+0.7°F).

May 2025 was the 12th-wettest May in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 3.7in against a 1991–2020 normal of 3.1in (+0.6in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

More heavy rain and storms along a stalled frontal boundary from Texas into the Southeast that has repeatedly drenched the region day after day. No change in this pattern for a while.

Atlantic tropical update: not expecting any development through at least 7-days, but chance for something in the Gulf of Mexico after Day 10 as the Atlantic hurricane season gets underway in June. No chances of a “pre-season” system.

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Milepost
616 · laid 2025-05-26T17:53:44.271000Z
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https://weather.substack.com/p/may-26-2025-monday-weather-update
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