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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader The Record MILEPOST 604

May 12, 2025 Monday Weather

Earliest, hottest records across Texas this week

What the month did

May 2025 was the 27th-warmest May in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 61.7°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 61.0°F (+0.7°F).

May 2025 was the 12th-wettest May in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 3.7in against a 1991–2020 normal of 3.1in (+0.6in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

Overall Sea Surface Temperature (SST) anomaly is neutral to actually below normal (1991-2020) across the Main Development Region. Slightly above normal in the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico as well as in the subtropical Atlantic around Bermuda.

Amazing to see the extreme warmth across the Atlantic last year at this time across the entire Main Development Region and especially in the Eastern part of the basin. However, even with that warm water, tropical waves didn’t take advantage, instead emerging off the African coast too far to the north over cooler water (actual T).

For subscribers

The rest of this piece is for paid subscribers of Weather Trader. The Post keeps the archive, the index and the record; the writing itself stays behind the same subscription it was published under.

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Milepost
604 · laid 2025-05-12T15:05:42.825000Z
Source
https://weather.substack.com/p/may-12-2025-monday-weather
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