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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Notebook MILEPOST 593

May 1, 2025 Thursday Weather Update

Comfortable and cool first half of May ahead

What the month did

May 2025 was the 27th-warmest May in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 61.7°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 61.0°F (+0.7°F).

May 2025 was the 12th-wettest May in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 3.7in against a 1991–2020 normal of 3.1in (+0.6in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

Looking back at the last month of April 2025 temperature anomaly: the Lower 48 was on average 1.5°F above the 1991-2020 climatology. Generally 3°F to 5°F above normal from Texas into the Carolinas. Near normal or slightly below with some hints of blue mixed into the Midwest. Late month snowfall in Wyoming tipped the month to the colder side.

May does not look hot across the Southern U.S. from Texas to the Southeast with near-normal temperatures or even below normal. This takes into account the last 5-days of forecasts from CFSv2 (a climate model that is a distant cousin of GFS).

For subscribers

The rest of this piece is for paid subscribers of Weather Trader. The Post keeps the archive, the index and the record; the writing itself stays behind the same subscription it was published under.

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Milepost
593 · laid 2025-05-01T15:02:26.375000Z
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https://weather.substack.com/p/may-1-2025-thursday-weather-update
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