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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Tropics MILEPOST 576

April 15, 2025 Tuesday Weather Update

Atlantic hurricane season has cooler water than last year

What the month did

April 2025 was the 16th-warmest April in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 53.6°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 51.8°F (+1.7°F).

April 2025 was the 31st-wettest April in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 2.9in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.7in (+0.2in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

Quick look at the change in sea-surface temperatures across the Earth as we head into the middle of April and look ahead to the Atlantic Hurricane Season.

2025 minus 2024 shows a LOT of blue meaning significantly cooler across the tropics in the Indian, Pacific, and Atlantic Oceans. The central Pacific is cooler because of the transition to a weak La Niña while the Atlantic on both sides of the equator is dramatically cooler. I don’t entirely understand the mechanisms controlling the deep tropics Atlantic SST other than winds to mix up cooler water than below but there is also a “Niño” in the Atlantic that seems to be acting up.

For subscribers

The rest of this piece is for paid subscribers of Weather Trader. The Post keeps the archive, the index and the record; the writing itself stays behind the same subscription it was published under.

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Milepost
576 · laid 2025-04-15T13:50:52.801000Z
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https://weather.substack.com/p/april-14-2025-tuesday-weather-update
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