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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Winter MILEPOST 559

March 28, 2025 Friday Weather Update

Winter mess across Midwest and Great Lakes into New England

What the month did

March 2025 was the 7th-warmest March in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 46.8°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 43.6°F (+3.3°F).

March 2025 was the 57th-driest March in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 2.4in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.5in (-0.1in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

Active weather today across the upper-Midwest and Great Lakes along with Texas and Louisiana. Outside of the clouds and rain, very warm temperatures on this late March Friday.

Precipitation analysis across South Texas shows almost 19" of rainfall on Harlingen, Texas but the station clunked out last night, so not sure if there's a bucket working there. Rainfall consistent with a slow moving tropical storm. Instead this was a weak cut-off trough able to draw up Gulf of America moisture on shore in a highly divergent upper-level environment. Models seemed to do a good job on overall maximums, but placement was off. I presume this precipitation will be enormously beneficial for recharging aquifers and soaking the landscape with seemingly a year’s worth of water all at once.

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Milepost
559 · laid 2025-03-28T15:49:47.100000Z
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https://weather.substack.com/p/march-28-2025-friday-weather-update
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