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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Notebook MILEPOST 524

February 16, 2025 Sunday Weather Update

Cutter system to plow through Mid-Atlantic with heavy wintry precipitation

What the month did

February 2025 was the 56th-warmest February in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 34.7°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 35.6°F (-0.9°F).

February 2025 was the 56th-wettest February in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 2.2in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.1in (+0.0in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

Quick update with a lot of maps to get ready for the upcoming week with major winter weather including a record-cold “Polar Vortex” outbreak and heavy snowfall through the center of the Lower 48 from Missouri to Maryland.

The models were split yesterday on the track of the low-pressure system upon emerging off the East Coast. GFS and ICON were out-to-sea, more of a cutter while ECMWF, GEM, and UKMET had blockbuster blizzard in the Northeast.

For subscribers

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Milepost
524 · laid 2025-02-17T03:16:52.877000Z
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https://weather.substack.com/p/february-16-2025-sunday-weather-update
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