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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Winter MILEPOST 521

February 13, 2025 Thursday Winter Weather

Potential Record Cold from Polar Vortex Next Week

What the month did

February 2025 was the 56th-warmest February in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 34.7°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 35.6°F (-0.9°F).

February 2025 was the 56th-wettest February in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 2.2in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.1in (+0.0in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

The icon of the next week on most weather dot gov forecast pages for cities in the Midwest, Plains, and Great Lakes will be Cold — an open domain photograph from Manhattan in the 1960s of a woman in a mini-skirt trudging through snow.

The ICON model from Germany is a global system at high resolution and it consistently has the best performing 2-meter temperatures in the near-term. It performed very well for January’s major polar vortex outbreak.

For subscribers

The rest of this piece is for paid subscribers of Weather Trader. The Post keeps the archive, the index and the record; the writing itself stays behind the same subscription it was published under.

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Milepost
521 · laid 2025-02-14T00:26:45.204000Z
Source
https://weather.substack.com/p/february-13-2025-thursday-winter
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