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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Winter MILEPOST 503

January 21, 2025 Gulf Coast Storm

Historic snowfall on way for Florida

What the month did

January 2025 was the 33rd-coolest January in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 29.2°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 32.3°F (-3.2°F).

January 2025 was the 5th-driest January in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 1.4in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.3in (-1.0in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

The winter storm across the Gulf Coast from Texas to the Carolinas today is over-performing even the most aggressive model forecasts. Many hours of heavy snowfall including actual blizzard criteria in Louisiana to near Pensacola, Florida has made travel treacherous especially along Interstate 10. And, in the past 2 hours, snowfall has again picked up in Atlanta with probably 3” or more on the southern side of the Metro. Unreal.

HRRR 19Z simulated radar shows an enormous QPF slug (> 1” of moisture) coming out of the very warm Gulf of Mexico up and over Arctic air only in the 20s across much of the Deep South. Note how many hours of full-snowfall from Tallahassee to Savanah.

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Milepost
503 · laid 2025-01-21T22:11:00.955000Z
Source
https://weather.substack.com/p/january-21-2025-gulf-coast-storm
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